Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.314191 0.366074 0.420781 0.482479 0.549843 0.620892 0.701222
2025-01-26 0.248256 0.320420 0.401338 0.497640 0.608003 0.729472 0.872215
2025-02-02 0.200544 0.285584 0.386542 0.512504 0.662816 0.833992 1.041225
2025-02-09 0.156274 0.246823 0.360754 0.509528 0.693813 0.910140 1.178841
2025-02-16 0.127160 0.221854 0.347610 0.518563 0.737130 1.000166 1.333657
2025-02-23 0.100343 0.194964 0.327910 0.516012 0.763913 1.069252 1.463681
2025-03-02 0.074033 0.163473 0.297498 0.495531 0.764920 1.104634 1.551691
2025-03-09 0.060063 0.148302 0.287865 0.501343 0.798922 1.180885 1.690476
2025-03-16 0.045406 0.128522 0.268573 0.491243 0.809949 1.226765 1.790839
2025-03-23 0.039324 0.123078 0.270663 0.511534 0.862343 1.326729 1.960910
2025-03-30 0.030883 0.110733 0.259859 0.511326 0.885407 1.387822 2.081345
2025-04-06 0.024336 0.100494 0.251156 0.513204 0.910722 1.451672 2.205608
2025-04-13 0.019969 0.094262 0.249088 0.525713 0.952352 1.539328 2.363935
2025-04-20 0.016788 0.090040 0.250123 0.542982 1.001154 1.637419 2.537274
2025-04-27 0.014004 0.085923 0.250795 0.559438 1.048937 1.734714 2.710698
2025-05-04 0.010210 0.076860 0.240497 0.556695 1.067478 1.791494 2.830452
2025-05-11 0.007993 0.071903 0.237835 0.566508 1.104951 1.874938 2.986710
2025-05-18 0.005572 0.064363 0.228536 0.563939 1.122921 1.930832 3.106013
2025-05-25 0.003067 0.053337 0.209452 0.542294 1.109918 1.941917 3.163861
2025-06-01 0.002110 0.049258 0.205883 0.548503 1.140746 2.015903 3.308348
2025-06-08 0.001086 0.042295 0.193837 0.537811 1.143776 2.049340 3.396879
2025-06-15 0.000851 0.041795 0.198538 0.559352 1.199502 2.160135 3.593612
2025-06-22 0.000434 0.037554 0.192345 0.559140 1.219314 2.218315 3.717380